| AstroCycle research - accurate forecasts |
|
Using the ChartsIntra-Day Trading demands a lot of PC time
The 1 minute charts visible in real time on my
Public List
on StockCharts.com are all one really needs to trade intraday.
The Tick lines are the most direct indication of buying and selling waves, and the 12 hour cycle lines can be used
as a guide to try and forecast their next move. Good short term trading lows are often made when both Tick lines
make a deep low together, but the opposite is not always true and high Tick lines can lead to higher prices.
We should always be aware of key levels and use trend lines on both price and indicators to help ignore minor
counter moves and detect a larger change of trend, especially when near a cycle. The blue Slope and StochRSI
measure momentum in different ways and will confirm a powerful trend when they move strongly together, and will
often show divergences at lows and highs. Other indicators like the Trin line and Put/Call line are not always
as accurate as the others but are best watched when they reach extreme levels.
Click here for a Printable version of this Chart
Click here for a Printable version of this Chart Short Term Trading requires less time
The 15 minute charts visible in real time on my
Public List
on StockCharts.com are best for trading short term.
Click here for a Printable version of this Chart Multi-Week Trading is even less demanding
The 60 minute charts visible in real time on my
Public List
on StockCharts.com are best for trading multi week moves.
Click here for a Printable version of this Chart Multi-Month Trading is a lot less demanding
The Daily charts visible in real time on my
Public List
on StockCharts.com are best for trading multi week moves.
Click here for a Printable version of this Chart Detecting cycle interactions
Cycles are always affected by larger cycles as seen by the depth of 10 year cycle lows as the 52 year cycle was
rising for the last 25 years or so. Although the effect of the 10 year cycle lows were muted, they are still visible
and were great buying opportunity each time. Since the 2002 low was more significant than the 1992 low, and the move
down from the 2007 high was severe, we are to assume the 52 year cycle has peaked and we will probably continue much
lower towards the next 10 year cycle low of 2012.
Click here for a Printable version of this Chart Cycle interations across Octaves
The laws of harmonic propagation guarantees that every cycle has larger and smaller resonating cycles across octaves for common integers. Finding such resonating cycles can help confirm the validity of the cycle studied, since a random fluctuation will not display any matching resonating cycles at integer multiples. The chart of the Hang Seng below shows the 7 year cycle with its 1/2 and 2x harmonics visible as the 3.5 and 14 year cycles, thus confirming the validity of the cycles and explaining many of the deviations from each cycle at one time or another as the other cycle grabs control for a while.
Click here for a Printable version of this Chart Local inversions are common
Because cycles propagate at integer multiples, local inversions are common and their dynamic can best be understood by looking at the interaction of the 4 year cycle and its 1/2 harmonic resonance in the chart of the Russell 2000 below. When the market is in a corrective process and the trend is weak, the opposing shorter 1/2 cycle can temporarily take over and cause a local inversion which can make cycles difficult to trade at times.
Click here for a Printable version of this Chart Some Cycles are less predictable
Not all cycles have regular highs and lows evenly spaced apart at exact intervals, and we often find either the lows or the highs are more dominant and easier to detect and use successfully. This behavior can be seen in the charts of the Nasdaq where the 28 month cycle highs are a lot more regular than the lows, and the Nikkei displays a series of regular lows in one series of cycle and irregular turns in the other 6.5 year series.
Click here for a Printable version of this Chart |
|
